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Thoughts on Communism and Capitalism as “Occupy Vancouver” Approaches

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“Although Communism may be dead in fact if not name, the conditions that spawned and nurtured it are very much with us today. Large corporations have replaced the noblemen, the dwindling middle class is no buffer between the haves and the have-nots, and the rich get richer. Not much different than 1917… Change, unpredictable change, is coming to your home and sooner than you think!”
 
This was part of an article I did for Strategic Culture Foundation which is an online paper; it was dated April 10, 2010.
 
Now we have Occupy Wall Street in Vancouver and I have no doubt that it will spread like wildfire. The question is: Will it be like a grass fire and quickly burn out or get some roots? Moreover, if takes hold, what does it mean for the environmental struggle, in BC especially?
 
At present, there doesn’t appear any structure let alone leader but I think we can assume that this will change. The more important question is not if it takes on an organizational set up, who will be the major “bosses”, for want of a better word?
 
This raises another question: will this be led by a Robespierre, a Lenin…or a Gandhi, Mandela. Martin Luther King or Lech Walesa? That is not only a key question for political purposes but environmental questions as well.
 
If the former comes to pass – and this could well happen – the approach it will take will be to try to topple governments. To the extent they succeed, the environment will never be more than a convenient issue according to the times. For a glimpse at what a communist government will do, one need look no further that the Soviet Union and modern China.
                                                                                                                           
If, on the other hand it tries to gain power democratically, their obvious role will be to take on the issues that governments have failed in. British Columbia is just such a place and the environment just the issue. This raises yet another critical question – how will Adrian Dix and the NDP handle this?
 
I suspect very cautiously just as President Obama has. The support would be very helpful but neither the US Democrats want to face a hijacking which is a very real worry.
 
Hold onto your hats for we’re in for a very interesting ride!

Occupy Vancouver kicks off at 10 AM on Saturday October 15 at the Vancouver Art Gallery.

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Shades of Green: The World’s Changing Energy Equation

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The world’s energy equation is rapidly changing. Three recent developments have altered energy options, re-calibrated the calculation of supply and transformed the implications for the planet’s environment. Unfortunately, renewable, pollution-free energies – although they continue to make advances – are not in this equation.

The most recent development has been the nuclear meltdown at Fukushima Daiichi in Japan on March 11, 2011, an event that shocked the energy sector and sent many countries scurrying to reconsider their energy sources. Germany, Switzerland, Italy and Malaysia have all decided to either abandon or phase out their nuclear power plants. Japan is reviewing and reducing its nuclear strategy. The escalating cost of building such plants, the multiplication of safety systems and the dramatized risk of meltdown are now measured as being too high for practical purposes – the immediate economic damage of the Fukushima Daiichi disaster is estimated at $235 billion and the 1986 Chernobyl meltdown is presently at $200 billion and counting.

The second development in the energy equation is the discovery of shale gas and the technology to access it. Horizontal drilling and “fracking” (hydraulic fracturing) has opened huge supplies throughout North America and elsewhere. Natural gas can serve as a partial substitute for the diminishing supplies of conventional oil. In an energy-hungry world, it will be exploited to the fullest to produce heat, electricity, fertilizer and even diesel. Natural gas can also be used to power vehicles directly – 11 million gasoline engines have been converted to this use but, as an indication of future trends, General Motors is now designing production engines that will burn only the anticipated supply of cheap and plentiful natural gas.

The third development is the discovery of more oil – a lot more oil. As conventional wells decrease in number and production, shale oil is replacing them, multiplying known and recoverable reserves while changing the world’s economic, political and energy calculus. The technology that has made shale gas economically feasible has also exposed huge supplies of shale oil. Faster drilling has reduced access from 65 to 25 days (Globe & Mail, June 29/11) and has decreased production time from two years to eight months (National Post, July 2/11).

One surprising source of this new oil is Israel’s Shfela Basin, located just a short drive south of Jerusalem. With a supply of 250 billion barrels of recoverable shale oil, it may be the third largest reserve in the world, and it may have twice as much as Saudi Arabia’s 260 billion barrels of crude (Globe & Mail, June 29/11). The Shfela Basin has enough high quality oil to supply both Israel and the US, at a combined annual consumption of 8 billion barrels, for the next 200 years.

The other source of shale oil is the US. At least 20 new oil-rich shale basins have been identified, including Eagle Ford in Texas, Bakken in North Dakota, and Green River which straddles Colorado, Wyoming and Utah. The Green River basin alone contains a recoverable 1.38 trillion barrels or five times the Saudi Arabia equivalent. Meanwhile, Alberta’s huge oil sands reserve continues to ramp up production to meet the world’s energy hunger.

All this doesn’t mean that oil will become a plentiful commodity. Consumption is rising rapidly in China, India and Brazil just as old oil sources are steadily declining. But new supplies of shale oil portend radical changes at every possible level of the energy equation. More oil delays the “peak oil” crisis, undermines the prospects for electric and hydrogen vehicles, impairs the future of non-polluting solar and wind renewables, and alters the entire geo-political structure that has been infecting world politics for decades. But the biggest change – and the most dangerous – may be the difficult matter of reducing greenhouse gas emissions.

Three decades of effort by a global civilization powered with fossil fuels has not been able to reduce carbon dioxide emissions. Indeed, our best efforts to date have only been able to slow the annual rate of increase. Meanwhile, pre-industrial atmospheric carbon dioxide levels of 280 parts per million have risen to about 393 ppm today, a trajectory with extremely serious implications for climate, ecologies and human health, security and agriculture – climatologists estimate that we need to return to about 350 ppm to maintain the traditional climates that have accommodated our historical settlement of the planet. Given rising world populations, spreading industrialization, expanding materialism and an increasing demand for energy, the prospect of decreasing CO2 emissions – even with the aid of greater efficiencies – seems ever more challenging.

Given the failure of past political effort to reduce emissions, those concerned about climate issues had hoped shortages of oil would eventually force up fuel prices, encourage innovation, create clean energy alternatives and reshape our economic world to a more benign influence. However, given the recent discovery of massive amount of new oil and gas, this imposed option now seems unlikely, at least for the immediate future.

So, where does this leave us? We now have sobering scientific knowledge about climate change and the dire prospects that lie before us if we don’t dramatically cut carbon dioxide emissions. We also have promising technologies for supplies of clean, renewable energy. But we also have the temptation to burn massive new supplies of oil and gas. Ironically, as our ingenuity saves us from one inevitability, it threatens us with another. The power of our inventiveness has once again provided us with solutions that come with even more challenging problems. How we judge our situation, weigh our options and summon our resolve is more important than ever before.

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BC Sustainable Forestry Icon Merv Wilkinson Passes Away at 97

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Read this article from the Nanaimo Daily News on the passing of legendary BC forester Merv Wilkinson, whose Wildwood Forest Operation earned him global acclaim for leading-edge sustainable forestry and an Order of Canada.

“Wilkinson, in a conversation with the Daily News in 2010, said
old-time forestry workers knew how to manage a forest. He recalled a
former employer telling him, ‘Merv don’t you take out any trees that are
less than 16 inches at the stump…The old-fashioned logging was
way ahead of what we have now. It wasn’t self-destructive. It was
sustainable and more people were employed in the industry back then,’
Wilkinson said.” (Sept 1, 2011)

http://www2.canada.com/nanaimodailynews/news/story.html?id=156065c6-f5e5-4a69-94a6-7e079d4666eb

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photo by Buddy Gadiano

Shades of Green: Industrialization

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Sometimes the magnitude of the environmental challenges facing us today seems overwhelming. So we traditionally examine the larger problem in fragmented details. We isolate one part of a huge complexity of issues and consider, for example, the decline in wild salmon populations, the dilemma of disposing of municipal garbage, the merits of banning cosmetic pesticides, the mechanics of efficient recycling, the task of building efficient cars, the best way of managing forests, the logistics of protecting our surroundings in parks, conservancies and agricultural land. These days, the list could go on and on. And each detail alone seems extremely complicated for anyone who has tried to solve any one of them.

But overshadowing every detailed environmental problem is a question that we dare not ask. What if industrialization itself, the very foundation of our material, economic and social existence, is not sustainable? What if we made a strategic mistake 250 years ago when we left a biologically based energy system and cultivated one based on fossil fuels – when we shifted from muscle power to machine power? The Industrial Revolution was literally revolutionary, exploding our capacity to produce, consume, and impact our environment. But what if this system, so beneficial to us and so ecologically disruptive, is not compatible with the natural laws and limits that we must respect if we are to live sustainably on our planet?

Such a question seems heretical given the incredible material wealth, comfort and technological ingenuity that industrialization has provided. Indeed, we can’t imagine our present world without such a high-powered system of production and distribution. Oil magnifies our human effort by a factor of 25,000 – one barrel contains the energy equivalent of 12 men labouring for one year. Fossil fuels account for most of our electricity and transportation, half our fertilizers, and all the incredible petro chemical products that amaze us – from plastics and tires to clothing and paint. Industrialization has so magnified human influence and control that it has enabled our population to burgeon from 700 million in 1750 to an astounding seven billion today.

But, has industrialization’s success been its failure? Is it the instrument that we are using to wreck our planet? Does it have key failings that make it fundamentally destructive and unsustainable? Thoughtful people are now asking this question. Derrick Jensen raises this issue in You Choose, an intense selection from a book of collected essays, Moral Ground. “Destroying the world is what this culture does. It’s what it has done from the beginning,” he writes. Our impact was once insignificantly small; it is now large enough to be causing structural and global ecological distress.

The failing, of course, is not with industrialization per se. It was not one of nature’s inventions, a quirk of evolution that suddenly found a new and novel adaptation. Like writing, money, morality and time, industrialization is our invention, our way of giving shape to the order, character, materials and surroundings we prefer. Because industrialization is an extension of ourselves, we use it as an instrument to design the world that we want. And herein, perhaps, lies the failing of industrialization – it amplifies our own failings.

Although we call ourselves homo sapiens, wise humans, we still have some learning to do. Our entire history as a species has been a wresting of survival from a natural world of adversities. Our habit has been combating our surroundings and competing with each other. We have, of course, cooperated with plants, animals and other people when this strategy has been advantageous to us. And we have profited considerably from this tactic.

But cooperation has not been industrialization’s strategy. It has mostly been a process of taking, making and using what we want with little regard for environmental consequences. And, when we have coupled industrialization with such an extreme variant as free-market capitalism, the result can be curiously destructive.

Naomi Oreskes explores just one of these examples in Merchants of Doubt, a book about the organized assault of corporate interests on the issue of anthropogenic climate change. The “debate”, she concludes, is not a debate at all. Her research as a science writer found that the scientific community reached supportive consensus for global warming as early as the 1950s. The “strategy of doubt mongering” was initiated by a few powerful industrialists whose economic interests would suffer from any measures taken to reduce carbon dioxide emissions. The empires of profit-making they had built needed to preserve the status quo regardless of the consequences to humanity or the planet. The same obstructionist tactics were employed to suppress concern about the harmful effects of acid rain, DDT, chlorofluorocarbons (ozone depletion), plastics, gasoline additives, food dyes and smoking.

New knowledge that conflicts with an old way of doing things is always difficult to accept. This is the phase we are now entering as we gain new insights into the effects of industrialization on our civilization, our lives and our planet. We are expected to accept, as an act of faith, that mining and polluting, that oil pipelines and tanker traffic, that natural gas and methane wells, that proliferating garbage dumps and stripping the oceans of fish are inevitabilities. They aren’t. Industrialization is our servant, not our master. We invented it so we can change it to suit the wellbeing of ourselves and our life-supporting ecosystems.

We can’t reverse history – we can’t undo what has been done. But we can reshape ourselves, our values, our expectations and our industries. We can make ourselves more aware and responsible, thereby changing what we do and, therefore, our future. Perhaps if we steeled our resolve, thought hard enough and plotted a more promising destination – perhaps if we did less drifting and more steering – we could create prospects for our children and grandchildren that would seem more promising.

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