Category Archives: Food

Systemic Thinking and Big Pictures

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We are please to begin publishing at TheCanadian.org Ray Grigg’s weekly Shades of Green series. A warm welcome to Ray from The Common Sense Canadian.

Systemic thinking reveals the complexity of almost everything. A careful and methodical examination of most subjects exposes an intricacy far greater than mere details – how the details relate to each other and conjoin with seemingly diverse factors are as important as the details themselves. Delving into such interactions is necessary to understand the world around us and to manage the outcomes of the things we do.

Consider the ordinary biological act of a man and woman conceiving a child. Thomas Malthus, the 19th century clergyman and political economist (1766-1834), calculated the rate of human reproduction, measured it against the food production of his time, and anticipated an eventual catastrophe as the number of people eventually exceeded their ability to feed themselves. Fortunately, Malthus’ prediction did not occur as anticipated because of industrial agriculture, the so-called “green revolution” and the distribution of the food being produced. But our population has risen to meet this increased supply, and an anticipated 40 percent increase in our numbers to about 9.5 billion by 2050 may combine with other factors to confound our ingenuity.

Because systemic thinking explores beyond simplicities to complexities, a study of food production for such an enormous population must also consider the constraints imposed by limited supplies of water, an essential agricultural ingredient that is now becoming scarce as demand continues to rise beyond availability. Oil is another constraining factor. Huge quantities are required for fertilizing, planting, harvesting, transporting and processing. If oil supplies replicate the situation with water, the price of food will rise and the economic costs will unleash disruptive and unmanageable social and political complications.

Soil presents another challenge to global food production. Just as demand is rising, erosion and degradation are reducing the amount and fertility of soil, a handicap that has to be combatted with ever more oil-based fertilizer. Even the anthropogenic increase in atmospheric carbon dioxide is changing the way plants grow and produce crops – small increases in carbon dioxide seem to assist growth but do not necessarily yield more of the crops we want from plants. Political and economic stability are also factors that can enhance or curtail food production. Apply systemic thinking to any process and the simple rapidly becomes complicated.

Traditional economic theory, for example, seems to be based on the principle of indefinite growth. Systems thinking exposes the inherent contraction of perpetually expanding consumption, profit and wealth on a planet of rising populations and finite resources. Logic would argue that some kind of homeostasis or equilibrium must eventually be reached between human enterprises and nature’s limits. Indeed, we may now be experiencing this anticipated limit with resource scarcity, habitat loss, species extinction, endemic pollution and global warming, all of which can be taken as indications that we are approaching unsustainable levels of growth. Simple biological and physical limits are defining what we must accept as “sustainable development”.

Apply systemic thinking to climate matters and the insights are even more complex and challenging. Our massive carbon dioxide emissions from burning fossil fuels are not only increasing global temperatures but are also acidifying our oceans. The same process that is causing extreme weather, inflicting extensive property damage, altering plant growth, creating refugees, instigating social turmoil and inciting political unrest is also impairing oceanic food production precisely at a time when we need to be aiding rather than handicapping its productive capacity. Systemic thinking can help us understand complications, define sustainability and engineer outcomes beneficial for ourselves and the environment that supports us.

If we consider only disconnected details and don’t employ systemic thinking, we get misleading answers to simple questions. Why, for example, are parts of North America, Europe and China having such cold winter weather if global warming is occurring? The details seem to contradict the theory.

In keeping with systemic thinking, the answer is complex. Essentially, large areas of exposed ocean from melted Arctic ice seem to have created high pressure bulges of warm air that are deflecting the usual west-to-east “polar vortex”, the jet stream loop that keeps cold Arctic weather separated from balmier southern weather. The destabilized and fractured polar vortex is now moving in giant inverted U-shapes, sweeping warm air northward to the Arctic and returning chilling winds southward. These “meridional flows” are becoming more common as Arctic sea ice melts. The result is bitter cold and snow in southern areas. “The jet stream breakdown last winter,” writes James Overland of the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, “was the most extreme in 145 years of record. Loss of sea ice is certainly not the whole story behind cold mid-latitude winters, but it’s a constant push in that direction” (Globe & Mail, Dec. 31/10). As parts of North America, Europe and China shiver, parts of the Arctic, such as Iqaluit, bask in temperatures 15°C above normal. The average global temperature continues to rise but the heat gets distributed abnormally.

People who like tradition, predictability and simple answers don’t like systemic thinking. Neither do people who place their personal ambitions above ecosystem and societal interests – systemic thinking results in complex insights that invariably challenge narrow biases, discredit shallow perspectives and deflate the credibility of individual certainty.

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Site C dam “not required”, NDP leadership hopeful John Horgan says

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From Straight.com – Jan 18, 2011

by Matthew Burrows

The B.C. NDP’s only Vancouver Island–based leadership candidate has said he believes the proposed Site C hydroelectric dam is unnecessary at this point in time.

“Each pulp mill or sawmill that shuts down, that’s more power that’s available to B.C. Hydro through the existing supply,” John Horgan, long-time NDP energy critic, told the Straight
by phone today (January 18). “Housing starts have not been what they
were projected to be in 2005-2006, so residential demand is not growing
at the rate that B.C. Hydro projected. So my view is that Site C is not
required at this time, and there are other potentially lower-cost,
best-use options available to the corporation.”

In a wide-ranging interview, Horgan confirmed the NDP still supports a moratorium on any new run-of-river power projects.
If the NDP forms government, it would review the power-purchase
agreements made by B.C. Hydro and private power producers in order to
ensure they are in the “public interest”, according to him.

“If it’s determined that they are not in the public interest, after the
light of day has been shone upon them, then we would take action to
rectify that. What that action is would depend on what the deficiencies
are,” Horgan said.

Read full article

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Vertical Farming: Does it Really Stack Up?

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From The Economist – Dec 9, 2010

WHEN you run out of land in a crowded city, the solution is obvious:
build upwards. This simple trick makes it possible to pack huge numbers
of homes and offices into a limited space such as Hong Kong, Manhattan
or the City of London. Mankind now faces a similar problem on a global
scale. The world’s population is expected to increase to 9.1 billion by
2050, according to the UN. Feeding all those people will mean increasing
food production by 70%, according to the UN’s Food and Agriculture
Organisation, through a combination of higher crop yields and an
expansion of the area under cultivation. But the additional land
available for cultivation is unevenly distributed, and much of it is
suitable for growing only a few crops. So why not create more
agricultural land by building upwards?

Such is the thinking behind vertical farming. The idea is that
skyscrapers filled with floor upon floor of orchards and fields,
producing crops all year round, will sprout in cities across the world.
As well as creating more farmable land out of thin air, this would slash
the transport costs and carbon-dioxide emissions associated with moving
food over long distances. It would also reduce the spoilage that
inevitably occurs along the way, says Dickson Despommier, a professor of
public and environmental health at Columbia University in New York who
is widely regarded as the progenitor of vertical farming, and whose
recently published book, “The Vertical Farm”, is a manifesto for the
idea. According to the UN’s Population Division, by 2050 around 70% of
the world’s population will be living in urban areas. So it just makes
sense, he says, to move farms closer to where everyone will be living.

Read full article here

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Farmlands on the Brink: Tsawwassen’s Southlands

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Hemmed in by Delta to the east, Point Roberts to the
south and the Salish Sea to the west, Southlands is a 538-acre farm that
has been in the middle of a tug-of-war between developers and farmland
defenders for nearly four decades.

The president of the development company
that owns Southlands has proposed a plan that he says could serve both
interests equally. Proponents argue that it could serve as a model for a
new form of planning — agricultural urbanism — where people and farms
can co-exist. Opponents fear it will only drive up the prices of
already expensive, and scarce, farmland in the region.

Read the full Tyee article here

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The Tyee: Welcome to Farm School

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“The agriculture that we should bring about substantially is local
scale, human intensive, ecologically sound,” says Dr. Kent Mullinix from
Kwantlen Polytechnic University. The director of Sustainable Agri-food
Systems acknowledges that, “The fact of the matter is this post
industrial agri-food system is going to require a lot of people, in
particular a lot of farmers.”

Mullinix references the work of Richard
Heinburg from the Post Carbon Institute whose research suggests that the
United States will need up to 50 million new farmers to work the land
and feed the people in a post carbon world. That’s roughly 17 per cent
of the current population. Applying that number to British Columbia
suggests that three quarters of a million of us will need to take up the
hoe. At the moment, I’m feeling woefully unprepared.

Read full Tyee article here


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Tourism Threatens Water Security in Okanagan

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Article by Remy Scalza in BC Business. “The need for wineries to conserve has never been more acute. On the heels of a drought last year, the South Okanagan is anticipating another dry summer. For the second consecutive year and the sixth time in the last decade, dry conditions have prompted a drought declaration on Osoyoos Lake. Even outside the dry South Okanagan, water woes are evident.” Read article

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B.C.’s shellfish industry can’t aid oil spill recovery

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Story by Claire Ogilvie in The Province.

“West Coast oyster farmers are fielding calls from farmers on the Gulf of Mexico as the work begins to replace the shellfish breeding beds damaged by the massive oil spill.

“But while shellfish farmers in the Pacific Northwest are anxious to help, they say they have little to offer.

“Climate change has wreaked havoc on seed oyster hatcheries on the west coast, leaving no extra capacity to send to the Gulf shellfish farmers who are looking at totally rebuilding their stock following the explosion April 20 of BP’s Deepwater Horizon oil rig.”

Read article

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Probe launched into university’s research funding

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Article in The Province. “The president of Kwantlen Polytechnic University has launched a review of the school’s decision to accept a $50,000 research fee from the Century Group at the same time the school was promoting the controversial Southlands project it was researching.” Read article

Story in The Common Sense Canadian: University Gets Caught Lobbying for Developer – Now Wants to Investigate Itself

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University Gets Caught Lobbying for Developer – Now Wants to Investigate Itself

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The recent revelation that Richmond-based Kwantlen Polytechnic University has been acting as a paid lobbyist (though they eschew that label) for a highly contentious billion-and-a-half dollar real estate development atop farmland has brought to the fore some serious ethical questions. Namely, should publicly funded academic institutions be engaging in this sort of behaviour, and if so, do they have a duty to disclose such financial arrangements to the public and the bodies they lobby.

Documents recently obtained via Freedom of Information request on behalf of a group of citizens opposing the development of a 500-plus acre parcel of farmland in Tsawwassen’s Boundary Bay reveal a multi-tiered contractual arrangement between Kwantlen and developer Century Group. The Memorandum of Understanding (click here to see) included cash payments and other bonuses in exchange for the university extolling the virtues of a proposal to build 1,900 homes on the farmland known as the Southlands property…or as the document phrases it, to “articulate the sustainability of the land use proposal as part of the re-zoning application.”

The battle over this land extends back several decades, throughout which time the people of Tsawwassen and agricultural advocates across the region have steadfastly opposed the plan and successfully blocked development. Kent Spencer broke this latest chapter of the Southlands saga in The Province last week, adding the actual dollar figures to the details spelled out in the formerly secret M.O.U. document. It appears the university got $50,000 up front for its efforts, and would receive an additional $100,000 should the developer achieve the rezoning it’s seeking from the municipality to move the project forward; should the complex be built, Kwantlen would receive some vaguely defined benefits such as the use of an educational building on the property, built and owned by the developer – and the ability to do some horticultural research projects on the land that isn’t taken up by houses and roads (approximately 200 acres out of 540).

What has Kwantlen done so far to earn its fee? In addition to some “research” into the benefits of the proposal, a couple of professors from the school’s Institute of Sustainable Horticulture, Kent Mullinix and Arthur Fallick, have made favourable presentations to the municipality of Delta (of which Tsawwssen is a part), and other groups like Capilano University. Just having the university’s name attached to the concept is clearly of substantial value to the developer’s bid.

The fact that the university kept the deal secret is worse than the deal itself. While Century Group’s president Sean Hodgins – one of two signatories of the recently unearthed document, the other being Kwantlen president David Atkinson – has declined to comment in the media on the recent brouhaha, Kwantlen reps initially defended the university’s actions. But it appears now, as the story refuses to go away, that the university is changing its position and at least conceding the possibility that there may be something untoward about this deal.

Now The Province is reporting that Atkinson, in a misguided attempt at damage control, is calling for an investigation into the matter. An investigation is certainly appropriate – just not by Atkinson and Kwantlen… seeing how it is Atkinson’s own signature on the secret document at the root of the whole controversy. Mr. Atkinson apparently thinks it’s fine and dandy to investigate himself. That he can’t see the conflict there is baffling.

Perhaps the most damning evidence against the university lies in the chronology of events:

-May 20, 2009: Century Group and Kwantlen sign M.O.U.

-December 3, 2009: Kwantlen profs make presentation to Delta Council (without disclosing their financial relationship with the developer)

-March 2010: Tsawwassen resident files F.O.I. request with Kwantlen, obtaining the M.O.U. in late March

-April 9, 2010: Century Group posts M.O.U. on their website

-July 2010: The story breaks – only then does the university comment on its deal with the developer, when questioned by the media.

The first question that comes mind is why did Century Group post the M.O.U. on their site just weeks after their partner, Kwantlen, received the F.O.I. request for the until-then secret document – nearly a full year after the deal was inked. Could it have been to create some veneer of defence against the accusations of secrecy that were sure to follow the release of the document? The time to disclose things is before you get caught, not after.

While no longer in the Agricultural Land Reserve, the Southlands is designated for agricultural use by the municipality of Delta. The developer, who has tried for decades unsuccessfully to develop the property, is now rushing to get Delta to amend its own community plan and rezone the property for housing before Metro Vancouver completes its overhauled Green Zone plan, which is likely to entrench the agricultural designation of the Southlands, perhaps finishing off the development bid for good. The plan, it appears, was to get the municipality to fast-track the rezoning, as quietly as possible. It is thus ironic that this stealth strategy has in fact blown the story wide open and likely done far more harm than good to the developer’s plans – not to mention the university’s reputation.

Tsawwassen residents have long been opposed to the development of this property, having fought successfully in the 1980’s – in the longest public hearing in BC history – to keep the farmland from being converted into housing. In the 1990’s the community fended off a plan to turn the land into a golf course and homes. Golf courses were, in the 80’s and 90’s, the preferred method for getting around the ALR and other farmland protections. The idea was to build an unsuccessful golf course, then later fill in the fairways with houses when the golfing proved a bust. It was a neat trick and before long golf course proposals were popping up all around Delta and throughout the region. Sometimes it worked like a charm; other times – as in the case of the Southlands and another contentious property in Tsawwassen, the Spetifore Farm – the public fought back and successfully staved off development.

Today, the Southlands proposal is as unpopular as ever with Tsawwassen folks. A recent Ipsos-Reid poll commissioned by the city came back with 62% opposed to the developer’s plan – roughly double those in favour. This is in line with other similar indications of public disdain for developing the Southlands, including a series of public meetings and comment processes conducted by the municipality that have consistently seen in the region of 60-80% opposed. What many would prefer to see instead is the sustainable densification of the community’s town centre, while leaving farmland and green spaces as they are.

The people of Tsawwassen have good reason to feel this way – as should all British Columbians, given the dire state of our farmland and food security. According to a 2007 report by the BC Ministry of Agriculture and Lands (also pried loose by F.O.I.), in 1970 we produced roughly 80% of our own vegetables locally; today that number has plummeted to a paltry 40%! With increasing water shortages in California and Mexico – our chief suppliers of imported produce – this situation simply isn’t sustainable. Which is why the last thing we should be doing right now is building houses, industry, and highways atop what little precious farmland we have left.

This is why the concept being touted by Kwantlen’s agricultural profs and the developer here is troubling in and of itself. The M.O.U. is filled with a fancy new term called “agricultural urbanism,” which is really the golf course of today – serving to greenwash the development of farmland by promising things like farmers’ markets, “sustainable horticulture” research projects, and green spaces.

Critics of Century Group’s proposal don’t see it as 200 acres of mixed “agricultural urbanism” features – they see it as 340 acres of farmland destroyed for housing that could just as well go elsewhere. While the Southlands, a former potato farm, has been out of agricultural production for years, agrology reports show it could have class 1 and class 2 agricultural soils if it were properly irrigated and cared for. Some of the finest farmland in the world can in fact be found in Delta and the Fraser Valley – which is why it’s crazy to be paving and building over top of it in this day and age.

The issue with this latest twist in the Southlands story lies not with the developer. Developers care about what any other corporation cares about: making money. And they use the tools they have at their disposal to do so. In this case, arranging for a university to endorse their project under some new-fangled academic concept is an expedient thing to do – adding much-needed credibility to their embattled proposal. But the value of that endorsement depended greatly on the apparent independence of the “experts” speaking to the merits of the project. And therein lies the problem. This was a major misrepresentation by the university that changed the dynamic of the discussion – as it was intended to do. Had this not blown up in their face, one would almost have to congratulate Century Group for a shrewd investment – for, what is a couple hundred thousand compared to a billion and a half dollars worth of real estate? Talk about R.O.I.

A representative for the university, executive director for research Jason Dyer, said in defence of the arrangement that the monies they received would in no way influence the findings of their “research,” funded by the $50-150 K. Dyer told The Province, “Just because somebody pays the cost of research doesn’t mean the research is not independent. Costs have to be paid by somebody.”…Which of course is so preposterous it really bears no rebuttal – though Tsawwassen resident and member of the community group opposing the development, Dana Moslavat, took a stab at it: “With any research, the organization has a responsibility to divulge their funding sources so that the public may form their own opinions of any potential bias in the conclusions. Rather than an independent research institution, this agreement basically turns KPU into a lobbyist for Century Group.” Kwantlen initially felt there was nothing untoward about the deal and didn’t see the need to disclose it. “It is not normal for us to disclose our financial agreements,” said Dyer when confronted by reporter Kent Spencer. But if there was nothing wrong with the deal, then why keep it a secret?

Elvis Glazier, another Tsawwassen resident and member of the community group battling the project – who is also a Kwantlen alum who volunteers his time as the head of their millwright program advisory committee – sent a pointed letter to his alma mater this week. In it he correctly declared that what needs to be done now is not for the university to investigate itself, but for it to cancel its contract with the developer – thus leaving the lobbying to…well, lobbyists.

Now there’s a novel concept.

Watch for more on TheCanadian.org about the battle over the Southlands and the state of BC’s farmland and food security.

See the Kwantlen-Century M.O.U.

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